Number of births in Japan falls to record low in 2020
The part I didn't expect is that deaths actually declined in 2020 for the first time in 11 years. A small decline, and the decline in births was larger, but one might have imagined that deaths would increase in a pandemic year.
So digging a little deeper, the tracker I use says that there have been 7,472 deaths due to coronavirus in Japan so far, but actually over 50% of those have been in 2021, not 2020. On January 1st, the figure stood at 3,513. Compared to the total deaths (1,384,544) that would mean that Covid accounted for only 0.25% of them in 2020. It simply wasn't a large enough number to make a significant difference one way or the other. If there was a significant effect of the pandemic in Japan in 2020, its effect was probably felt more in fewer births rather than in increased deaths.
If you subtract the number of births from the number of deaths, Japan's population declined last year by 511,861. Over half a million. I also expect that more people will die in 2021, simply because two consecutive years of falling death rates seems unlikely.
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The combined number of babies born in Japan and to Japanese nationals living abroad stood at 872,683 in 2020, down 25,917 from a year earlier and marking the lowest level on record, according to health ministry data released Monday. The number of deaths dropped 9,373 to 1,384,544, the first decline in 11 years, the ministry said in a preliminary report that also included data for foreign nationals living in Japan. A total of 537,583 marriages were registered, down 78,069, or 12.7 percent, the largest margin of decline since 1950. |
So digging a little deeper, the tracker I use says that there have been 7,472 deaths due to coronavirus in Japan so far, but actually over 50% of those have been in 2021, not 2020. On January 1st, the figure stood at 3,513. Compared to the total deaths (1,384,544) that would mean that Covid accounted for only 0.25% of them in 2020. It simply wasn't a large enough number to make a significant difference one way or the other. If there was a significant effect of the pandemic in Japan in 2020, its effect was probably felt more in fewer births rather than in increased deaths.
If you subtract the number of births from the number of deaths, Japan's population declined last year by 511,861. Over half a million. I also expect that more people will die in 2021, simply because two consecutive years of falling death rates seems unlikely.
via International Skeptics Forum https://ift.tt/2MiqVcE
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