jeudi 31 août 2023

Lottery Winners: Lump sum or payout over time?

I was just watching a video where Mark Cuban (Shark Tank) said winners should take the long payout to avoid the risk of blowing it all.

A friend of my wife won the lottery over 2 decades ago. She was young and chose the 20 year payout. Still well over a million a year. She didn't let it affect her life. Finished college and went on to a teaching career where she met and became friends with my wife. Wife had no idea she was a lottery winner. One day when she was visiting it just came up in conversation about current events. Wife goes: "What?" She had assumed my wife had known or that she had told her long ago and was surprised my wife didn't know.

But it shows how one can live a fairly normal life and good for her. Especially at her young age at the time.

As an aside, the payout turned out to be by far the best decision. Interest rates were high at the time and a lump sum would have been far, far smaller. Interest rates decreased a lot over the next 20 years.


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The Ramaswamy Stratagem

Reading an opinion piece on Vivek Ramaswamy this afternoon; realized he might be the perfect anti-skeptical ******** artist, someone with zero-to-negative commitment to truth-seeking and truth-telling:
Now let’s fast-forward to the present moment. Instead of offering a plausible explanation for their mistakes — much less apologizing — all too many politicians deny that they’ve made any mistakes at all. They double down. They triple down. They claim that the fact-checking process itself is biased, the press is against them and they are the real truth tellers.

I bring this up not just because of the obvious example of Donald Trump and many of his most devoted followers in Congress but also because of the surprising success of his cunning imitator Vivek Ramaswamy. If you watched the first Republican debate last week or if you’ve listened to more than five minutes of Ramaswamy’s commentary, you’ll immediately note that he is exceptionally articulate but also woefully ignorant, or feigning ignorance, about public affairs. Despite his confident delivery, a great deal of what he says makes no sense whatsoever.
Since there is a separate thread for the FL governor, there may as well be one for anyone who has a better chance of gaining the GOP VP slot. I expect Ramaswamy will play an outsized role in the near future, or else fade away like Andrew Yang.

Your thoughts?


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Guilty or Insane?

There's been a fascinating and horrific case in NZ that recently wrapped up, with the conviction of a mother for killing her three children.

She tried the insanity defence, but that failed. I struggle to see why, as I can't think of anything more insane than deliberately murdering your three young children one at a time.

The background is here: https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/lauren...FLSERAAOGFLTM/

Notable points to me are the majority verdict, and even more importantly, the fact that she's being held in a secure mental unit prior to sentencing. If she's sane enough to be convicted of murder, I would have thought she's sane enough to be in jail like any other non-insane murderer.

Laura Dickason's family believes post-partum depression was the problem, and the psychiatric industry is by no means unanimous on the subject.

The other point is, I fail to see how either justice or the prison system is served by the verdict.


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The Great Kanto Earthquake - 100 years ago today

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1923_G...%8D_earthquake

Quote:

The Great Kantō earthquake (関東大地震, Kantō dai-jishin; Kantō ō-jishin)[11][12] struck the Kantō Plain on the main Japanese island of Honshū at 11:58:44 JST (02:58:44 UTC) on Saturday, September 1, 1923. Varied accounts indicate the duration of the earthquake was between four and ten minutes.[13] Extensive firestorms and even a fire whirl added to the death toll.
Deaths were over 100,000.


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mercredi 30 août 2023

Bongo drummed out

Military officers in Gabon declare coup and place president under house arrest

Quote:

Military officers in Gabon have declared they were seizing power from President Ali Bongo Ondimba in a stunning coup, threatening the family’s half-century rule over the central African nation.

Men in army uniform appeared on national television Wednesday to announce the president’s house arrest during the military takeover, prompting celebrations and reports of gunfire on the streets of the capital – but condemnation overseas.

“It is brought to the attention of the national and international community that Ali Bongo Ondimba is being kept under house arrest,” an unnamed junta spokesperson said on state TV on Wednesday morning.

The ousted president is surrounded by his “family and doctors,” the spokesperson added.


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Force them into court for sentencing.

There have been some high profile cases, where the accused, on being found not guilty, has then refused to attend their sentencing. Lucy Letby, the nurse who murdered children, is the most recent. She was apparently in the court building, but she refused to go into the court room to hear the sentence being imposed.

The government proposal is to force the convicted to go to court, by force if necessary and if they do not go, they face an extra two years. That would be pointless for Letby, who was given a whole life sentence.

I also think it is potentially cruel, for victims of miscarriages of justice, to have to face sentencing for something they did not do and the present criminal justice system treats those victims horrifically.

I also suspect the law will not be imposed as people do fight back, or cause a disturbance in the court. It would also be easy to make the convicted listen to their sentencing, by fitting a speaker to the court cell.


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Conservative groups draw up plan to replace the US government with Trump's vision

Conservative groups draw up plan to dismantle the US government and replace it with Trump’s vision As if Trump actually has a vision except his pathologic narcissism. Which says a lot about these idiots.

If this can go under any existing thread by all means someone suggest where. I couldn't find a good match. Somewhere I think I saw something about the "2025 project." Maybe it's the white supremacy movement's last stand.

This is some scary ****.
Quote:

WASHINGTON (AP) — With more than a year to go before the 2024 election, a constellation of conservative organizations is preparing for a possible second White House term for Donald Trump, recruiting thousands of Americans to come to Washington on a mission to dismantle the federal government and replace it with a vision closer to his own.

Led by the long-established Heritage Foundation think tank and fueled by former Trump administration officials, the far-reaching effort is essentially a government-in-waiting for the former president’s return — or any candidate who aligns with their ideals and can defeat President Joe Biden in 2024.
Waiting for Jesus to return? :rolleyes:

Quote:

With a nearly 1,000-page “Project 2025” handbook and an “army” of Americans, the idea is to have the civic infrastructure in place on Day One to commandeer, reshape and do away with what Republicans deride as the “deep state” bureaucracy, in part by firing as many as 50,000 federal workers.
Of course I'd be a tad more frightened if they weren't going to piss 50K federal workers off in the process.
This is nuts. :crazy:


Quote:

“We need to flood the zone with conservatives,” said Paul Dans, director of the 2025 Presidential Transition Project and a former Trump administration official who speaks with historical flourish about the undertaking.

“This is a clarion call to come to Washington,” he said. “People need to lay down their tools, and step aside from their professional life and say, ‘This is my lifetime moment to serve.’”
Did I mention this was nuts? :crazy:

I know The Heritage Foundation is a right wing think tank. But this looks like the Trump cult took them over.

What am I missing here?


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mardi 29 août 2023

Australian Referendum on the Indigenous Voice

I don't want any arguments taking place in the Australian Politics thread to bleed out into this one. I'm starting this thread specifically to ask our international friends what they think of this referendum.

On 14th October this year, Australia will go to the polls for a referendum on the Indigenous Voice to Parliament. The question asked will be as follows:

Quote:

A Proposed Law: to alter the Constitution to recognise the First Peoples of Australia by establishing an Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice. Do you approve this proposed alteration?
The alteration to the Constitution will take the following form:

Quote:

In recognition of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Peoples of Australia:
  1. There shall be a body, to be called the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice;
  2. The Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice may make representations to the Parliament and the Executive Government of the Commonwealth on matters relating to Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples;
  3. The Parliament shall, subject to this Constitution, have power to make laws with respect to matters relating to the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice, including its composition, functions, powers and procedures.

VIDEO: Everything you need to know about the Voice

My questions to those outside of Australia are:

Have you heard about this? Do you think this is a good idea? Do you have concerns?

I'm interested in your responses.


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1,600-plus Scientists Challenge Climate Change Hysteria

Over 1,600 scientists, including two Nobel Peace Prize winners, have signed a declaration that states that the claim of a climate "emergency" is a myth.

https://justthenews.com/politics-pol...climate-crisis

EXCERPT:

A coalition of 1,609 scientists from around the world have signed a declaration stating “there is no climate emergency” and that they “strongly oppose the harmful and unrealistic net-zero CO2 policy” being pushed across the globe. The declaration does not deny the harmful effect of greenhouse gasses, but instead challenges the hysteria brought about by the narrative of imminent doom. . . .

“Scientists should openly address uncertainties and exaggerations in their predictions of global warming, while politicians should dispassionately count the real costs as well as the imagined benefits of their policy measures,” the declaration says.


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The continuing adventures of Ammon Bundy

After successfully ducking service for a long time, Ammon Bundy is finally back in court concerning his unpaid civil suit to the hospital he defamed and coordinated an intimidation campaign against*

His ability to keep evading the consequences of these actions seems to be running out:

Quote:

Ammon Bundy, his wife and associated political groups cannot move property or large sums of money for another week while a Gem County judge evaluates whether to issue a more lasting order, the judge ordered Monday.

The order restricts Ammon Bundy, his wife Lisa Bundy, his former campaign Ammon Bundy for Governor, People’s Rights Network and White Barn Enterprises, LLC, from moving property, and the Bundys are limited from spending more than $5,000 each month.

...

Bundy is being sued twice by St. Luke’s Health System.

Bundy and his associate Diego Rodriguez did not attend the two-week long jury trial in Ada County for the first lawsuit, where a jury ordered the two and groups linked to them to pay $52.5 million in damages to St. Luke’s Health System and three employees they defamed, or made false, damaging statements about in connection with their care for an infant related to Rodriguez.

The second lawsuit alleges that Bundy has made fraudulent property transfers to evade collection of $26 million in damages awarded to the hospital system in its initial lawsuit against him, People’s Rights Network and his campaign for governor.

The original lawsuit against Bundy, Rodriguez and groups linked to them revolved around their in-person protests and online messages targeting medical professionals and others after a primary care provider unaffiliated with the hospital contacted the state health department about the infant. That resulted in the infant being placed under temporary protective care.
*All of this because police took a severely malnourished infant to the hospital, where it was cared for by medical staff for a week before being returned to the parents. Doctors testified at the defamation trial that the child likely would have died without intervention.

Quote:

Bundy called upon his followers to protest at the hospital (both St. Luke's Meridian and St. Luke's Boise),[109][111] and at the homes of the child protection service workers and law enforcement officers involved.[109] Bundy also claimed that St. Luke's "engaged in widespread kidnapping, trafficking, and killing of Idaho children."[109][112] Bundy claimed that the Idaho government and others were engaged in "child trafficking" for profit.[109]

St. Luke's Regional Health sued Bundy, Rodriquez, and three affiliated organizations (the Ammon Bundy for Governor, the People's Rights Network and the Freedom Man Press/Freedom Man PAC) for defamation, saying that the defendants had harassed medical staff and orchestrated a smear campaign against the hospital.[109][110] According to the hospital, the actions of Bundy and the other defendants caused disruption to operations, with the hospital being forced to lock down the facility, divert emergency department patients, and postpone or cancel hundreds of appointments.[109] At the trial, the hospital cited evidence that the defendants had spread lies about the hospital through videos and blog posts, such as claims that the hospital and government were plotting to seize children from Christian families and give them to gay couples to be sexually abused.[110] Bundy refused to appear in court either personally or through legal counsel;[109][110] after failing to respond to court orders, he was found in default.[110]

Following the civil trial in Ada County, the jury found all defendants liable for defamation, false light, and intentional infliction of emotional distress. The jury awarded plaintiffs $26.5 million in compensatory damages and $26 million in punitive damages.[110] Of this amount, Bundy personally was found liable for $6.2 million in compensatory damages and $6.15 million in punitive damages and Ammon Bundy for Governor was found liable for $1.55 million in compensatory damages and $1.65 million in punitive damages.[110] The hospital system praised the jury verdict as "accountability for the ongoing campaign of intimidation, harassment and disinformation" conducted by Bundy and his co-defendants.[109]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ammon_...mation_verdict

Odds seem good that the Bundys will eventually react to this case going poorly the way they react to most things that upset them, by a huge, potentially deadly freakout involving all their militia buddies.


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The Spanish Kiss

Quote:

More than a week after Spain’s historic win over England in the Women’s World Cup final, there is little talk of soccer.

Instead, the victory has been overshadowed by an unwanted kiss that has sparked global outrage and put the spotlight on Spain’s enduring culture of machismo in many quarters, despite significant advances in equal rights in recent years.

Star player Jennifer Hermoso described the actions of Spanish soccer federation president Luis Rubiales as an “impulse-driven, sexist out of place act without any consent.” The 33-year-old veteran said she felt the “victim of an aggression,” one that took place in front of a packed stadium and a global television audience after her team’s hard-won 1-0 victory over England on August 20.

Hermoso’s teammates share her outrage, with all of them now refusing to play again for Spain until Rubiales quits or if removed.
Seems straightforward enough, right? Surely this creep that was caught on video before a huge audience being a creep will be quickly dealt with.

Not so:

Quote:

On Friday the scandal escalated further when Rubiales made a defiant speech at the soccer federation’s Extraordinary General Assembly, where he had been widely expected to stand down but instead said multiple times he would not. The members of the federation who haven’t quit since then are backing him and the federation threatened legal action against Hermoso, accusing her of lying
https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/27/europ...spt/index.html


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[Split Thread] "White Supremacist" really has no meaning anymore.

Quote:

Originally Posted by johnny karate (Post 14149791)
I’m not sure that there’s an argument to call this incident stochastic terrorism, but there is no doubt that Republicans have been normalizing and platforming white supremacy.

What is that? Do you mean perfectionism, sense of urgency, defensiveness, quantity over quality? Those raycists bastards.


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lundi 28 août 2023

Project 2025

The GOP Has a Master Plan to Criminalize Being Trans

https://www.damemagazine.com/2023/08...e-being-trans/
Quote:

Project 2025 is a coalition of prominent conservative organizations that includes the Claremont Institute, Alliance Defending Freedom, Family Research Council, Hillsdale College, Heritage Foundation, Freedom Works, American Legislative Exchange Council, American Principles Project, and dozens of others. The organization’s goal is to lay out a “first 180 days” agenda for the next administration, and to recruit conservatives to fill positions within the federal government appointed by the executive branch.
https://www.project2025.org/

The playbook. https://thf_media.s3.amazonaws.com/p...rship_FULL.pdf

This sounds risky, unless they don't mind their bible and other religious writings being targeted.

This part sounds very alarming.
Quote:

“The Mandate for Leadership” is a 920-page document that details how the next Republican administration will implement radical and sweeping changes to the entirety of government. This blueprint assumes that the next president will be able to rule by fiat under the unitary executive theory (which posits that the president has the power to control the entire federal executive branch). It is also based on the premise that the next president will implement Schedule F, which allows the president to fire any federal employee who has policy-making authority, and replace them with a presidential appointee who is not voted on in the Senate.
Ranb


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dimanche 27 août 2023

Things that are *not* potential legal problems for Trump

[crickets]


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samedi 26 août 2023

Donald Trump's bottomless pit of legal problems.

Donald Trump has been indicted criminally in four jurisdictions. (So far.) But that is just a beginning of his legal problems.

He was also found responsible for sexually assaulting a woman and defaming her after. (Which he is appealing) He is facing additional suits for defamation from the same woman.

His company is facing a 250 million dollar suit which could result in him and his children being banned from operating any business in the state of New York.

He is also suing Michael Cohen for 500 million dollars. (A number he pulled out of his ass.) What’s funny is that Trump refused to sit for a deposition in a case he brought to the court. But the judge has ordered Trump to be deposed on September 6th. The bet is he won't show up and he will either drop the case or it will be dismissed.

Anyway, I'm convinced a catchall for Trump’s legal adventures is required. Feel free to comment about any legal issues that Trump, his family and associates are dealing with.


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vendredi 25 août 2023

YES!!! It's time we blow up the MOON!!!

Tides may be responsible for up to 69% of under-ice melting in an Antarctica ice shelf

Quote:

The ice shelves—the marine-terminating glaciers of the Antarctic Ice Sheet—are melting, and it's not just because of rising atmospheric temperatures. In a one-two punch, ice shelves in Antarctica are fighting a losing battle against rising temperatures both at the surface and under their body.

Called basal melting, oceanic heat and compression contribute to the phenomenon, but tides may play a bigger role than previously thought, according to a multi-institution research collaboration based in China. Based on observational data in Prydz Bay, which are the first made of tidal currents and their role in basal melting, the researchers found that tidal currents from the third largest bay in Antarctica may be responsible for up to 69% of basal melting on the Amery Ice Shelf.
No Moon, no tides! No tides, no melting! Save the Earth, BLOW UP THE MOON NOW!!!


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A Randi film

Not sure where to post this. On Amazon Prime, https://tinyurl.com/2jpn994s


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jeudi 24 août 2023

Death After Life vs Death Before Life

I didn't exist long before I was born and similarly I will not exist after I die. At least that's what many people on this forum think.

If so, does it mean that the nonexistence before I was born (let's name it nonexistence 1) the same thing as the nonexistence after my death (let's name it nonexistence 2)?

Even some famous people seems have claimed a similar thing:
Quote:

Originally Posted by Arthur Schopenhauer
After your death you will be what you were before your birth.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mark Twain
I had been dead for billions and billions of years before I was born, and had not suffered the slightest inconvenience from it.

So if they are 100% identical it seems that nonexistence 2 can be followed by life (consciousness) like nonexistence 1. So in some sense life after death is possible. Or perhaps there is no "self" or "consciousness". :confused: What are your thoughts about that?


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Tucker Macgregor thing making the rounds - debunking resources?

There's a video making the rounds from Tucker Carlson and some colonel, as far as i can tell, everything tucker claims is absolute garbage lies, but its having a real effect among on the local sanity and recovery for the Maui disaster. A lot of the bigger local influencers are using it to keep people from accepting any government resources, including temporary housing. I'd love some debunking resources against this.

While hawaii always and only votes democrat, figures like tucker carlson and trump really appeal to the divine command theory framework of local culture and are taken quite seriously, especially to back up conspiracy theories against acceting help from FEMA and Red Cross.

I know the youtube channel business basics links to live stuff in ukraine to debunk a lot of these combat claims, but there's so much more garbage tucker is spewing here

This crap is turning people verbally abusive to red cross volunteers here and I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up in some violence as well

https://twitter.com/TuckerCarlson/st...230990509?s=20


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How do we know we don't exist in a computer simulation?

I am thinking that even if we did, it would not be possible to tell one way or another.

The double slit experiment has been cited by advocates of this theory (Musk being one advocate) as being proof of our simulated lives.

Apologies if this has been debated before, but could not find any thread on this subject on a search, but that might just be me lacking good search skills.


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mercredi 23 août 2023

TIL: alternative cell biology

TIL that ribosome denialism is a thing.

I smugly think that I know a lot about quackery & pseudoscience* and then I run into something like this and realize that stupidity and self-deception is without end and that no one mind can come near to encompassing it all.

From https://drtomcowan.com/pages/the-new-biology :

Quote:

What if I told you that, since The Contagion Myth was first published in 2020, further research has led me to believe that at least 30 statements I made in the book are, in fact, inaccurate? At that time, I was still holding onto some of the most basic theories taught in medical school, such as cellular structure and the existence of ribosomes, which use RNA to make proteins. I did not apply my cardinal rule: Question Everything!

Through my research, I have come to understand a New Biology that applies to all living things.For example, I have discovered that the electron microscope images of ribosomes are actually gas bubbles, stained with dye, from dead or dying tissue. Human health, and that of all living things, is dictated by the quality of our water and our ability to receive and properly utilize this water. Intent (understanding the role of consciousness) is also important to healing.


* It's all too easy to get to the point of beginning to feel this way since so much of it is either endlessly recycled nonsense or very similar variations of endlessly recycled nonsense making it seem like there's "nothing new under the sun".


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Telescope Conjecture Disproved (Mathematics)

If you are interested in HomotopyWP.

An Old Conjecture Falls, Making Spheres a Lot More Complicated

Quote:

The telescope conjecture gave mathematicians a handle on ways to map one sphere to another. Now that it has been disproved, the universe of shapes has exploded.

Honestly worth a read. Mathematical topology marches on.

Quote:

There are different types of progress in math and science. One kind brings order to chaos. But another intensifies the chaos by dispelling hopeful assumptions that weren’t true. The disproof of the telescope conjecture is like that. It deepens the complexity of geometry and raises the odds that many generations of grandchildren will come and go before anyone fully understands maps between spheres.

“Every major advance in the subject seems to tell us the answer is a lot more complicated than we thought before,” Ravenel said.


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Georgia trial of Trump and Co. may be required to begin this November

The NYT is reporting that a co-defendant of Trump in the Georgia case has filed a demand for a speedy trial. According to the article, under Georgia law, this requires the trial of all co-defendants (notably, including Trump) to begin in November. The article states:

Quote:

While Mr. Trump’s traditional strategy throughout his many legal entanglements has been to slow things down, Mr. Chesebro’s filing for a speedy trial was the latest twist in the Atlanta case. Speedy trial demands are not unusual in Georgia. Ms. Willis’s office has been prepared for the possibility of a defendant requesting one, and it factored into her office’s decision to take its time in bringing an indictment after a two-and-a-half-year investigation.

“State law, if requested by a defendant, sets a firm time limit in which to have a fair trial,” Mr. Chesebro’s lawyers, Scott Grubman and Manny Arora, said in a statement. “Mr. Chesebro has given his official notice that he intends to avail himself of that right. Mr. Chesebro maintains his innocence and remains confident as the legal process continues.”

A speedy trial would apply to all 19 people indicted in the case. But some defendants are seeking to move their case to federal court or have said they will seek to sever their case from the other defendants’, so the ultimate timing of a trial or trials remains up in the air.

I don’t see how motions to move the cases of some of the defendants to federal court would affect the start date of the other defendants under the speed trial requirement. It seems that Trump’s trial will begin in Novermber.


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Alternative Remedies for things

I dunno if this is the best base to put this on but it deals with medicine so here goes my post :)

1) SALIVA: for insect bites,if your somewhere outdoors and get bitten by a few mosquitos then applying saliva on the bites calms it down for a little while-hey not all of us carry anti-mosquito stuff with us all the time do we? You have to re-apply the saliva from time to time.

2) BLACK TEA is great for hydrating you if you have had too much to drink or are thirsty-works better than water or other liquids at quenching thirst..
Also excellent if you have been out clubbing for the night to drink when you wake-up! It basically hydrates you inside and stops that annoying feeling you get when you are thirsty.

3) MIXED BERRIES-including blueberries: For an energy boost-blueberries are super-foods anyway and they work wonders!?!?

4) OLIVE OIL: Great to condition your hair and for general haircare-just put it in your hair about 1-2 hours before you shower and it will really help your hair a lot!

5) MUSTARD OIL: Excellent for the hair,great to strengthen and condition the hair and great for weak hair as it helps to make it stronger-same as olive oil-put in your hair about 1-2 hours before you shower.

6) EGG: Another excellent treatment for the hair-helps to nourish and condition and gives nutrients to it-apply to hair 1-2 hours before you shower.

7) HENNA: For the hair same as above oils and egg!

BEWARE: Dont use if you have light/blonde/grey/white hair unless you want your hair to turn a weird orange/red colour..

8) HONEY: For diabetics-believe it or not it helps keep blood sugar levels in control-and is a natural sweetner. There has been research carried out that honey helps keep blood sugar levels in control and even reduce blood sugar levels.

9) You can rub Castor oil on warts morning and night and rub around on it 20 times or so,that way it gets well worked in. Do that each and everytime you apply the oil. It should begin to disappear within a month or so sometimes sooner.



Anyone have any to add please do :)


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Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin presumed dead after Russia plane crash

Reports that Prigozhin has died in a plane crash. Who could have predicted that?

Quote:

Associated Press in Moscow have claimed that the business jet crash in Russia has killed ten people including Yevgeny Prigozhin who was on the passenger list, according to authorities.


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Hypothetical. What if Biden died in the next few months?

Harris would certainly be next up? How do you think that would fare?

Not a hater, but she's pretty politically weak right now if that happened.


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Changes to UK Surveillance Regime May Violate International Law

Not sure if this should be here or in the UK politics thread

Quote:

The new bill includes obligations for companies to give advance notice to the U.K. Secretary of State before implementing any technical changes in the architecture of software that would interfere with the U.K.’s current surveillance powers.
Quote:

As a result, an operator of a messaging service wishing to introduce an advanced security feature would now have to first let the Home Office know in advance.
Quote:

Device manufacturers would likely also have to notify the government before making available important security updates that fix known vulnerabilities and keep devices secure. Accordingly, the Secretary of State, upon receiving such an advance notice, could now request operators to, for instance, abstain from patching security gaps to allow the government to maintain access for surveillance purposes.
Quote:

any notices “continue to apply to the operators to whom it was intended to apply, including those that have adopted more complex corporate structures.” This would mean that the operators with a multinational presence would have to adhere to the U.K. government’s orders in every country of operation.
https://www.justsecurity.org/87615/c...rnational-law/


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mardi 22 août 2023

Bushfire season 2023-2024

With El Niño and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole, Australia is bracing for a hot and dry summer. With a lot of fuel load from the last three growing years, the country is a tinderbox waiting to be sparked off.

A positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) plus El Niño in Australia likely to cause hot and dry weather

Quote:

While El Niño dominates the headlines, a lesser-known climate influence is rapidly forming to our west, and is likely to bring hot and dry weather to Australia for the remainder of the year.

A positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is the Indian Ocean's version of El Niño, and typically brings reduced rainfall and an increase in temperatures through winter and spring.

The index used to monitor the Indian Ocean surged to 0.79 last week, the highest value in four years, which is nearly double the threshold for a positive phase.

If values above 0.4 are sustained for eight weeks, as predicted by all modelling, then 2023 becomes a positive IOD year, the first since 2019.
2019, you will remember, was the year of the catastrophic fires in which much of the eastern half of the country was ablaze.

It's looking to be a bad year.


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The thread for teachers who rape and molest their students.

As most are aware, tis the season for our precious little bundles of joy to head back to school where millions of them will be subjected to sexual abuse (according to the department of education) by those entrusted to educate them. This thread is dedicated to highlighting such examples, but is not limited to teachers. It can include other employees of schools such as administrators, custodial staff, athletic staff, resource officers, TAs etc. and is not limited to their students specifically, it can be children and minors in general.

Let's start in Queens, New York.

Quote:

A Queens teacher has been arrested by the NYPD after the mother of a 14-year-old girl discovered he'd been having sex with her daughter and reported it to the police.

Jamall Russell, 29, worked at the PS 97Q in the Woodhaven district as a teacher's assistant. He met his victim - whose name has not been released by the NYPD - while he was working at the school.


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[Split Thread] The response to the Maui wildfires

Biden has visited Hawaii, saying the US will do "everything they can" to help.


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lundi 21 août 2023

Saudi border guards killed hundreds of Ethiopian migrants, Human Rights Watch says

"They fired on us like rain": Saudi border guards killed hundreds of Ethiopian migrants, Human Rights Watch says

Quote:

Saudi border guards fired "like rain" on Ethiopian migrants trying to cross into the Gulf kingdom from Yemen, killing hundreds since last year, Human Rights Watch said in a report Monday.

The allegations, described as "unfounded" by a Saudi government source, point to a significant escalation of abuses along the perilous route from the Horn of Africa to Saudi Arabia, where hundreds of thousands of Ethiopians live and work.

One 20-year-old woman from Ethiopia's Oromia region, interviewed by HRW, said Saudi border guards opened fire on a group of migrants they had just released from custody.

"They fired on us like rain. When I remember, I cry," she said.

"I saw a guy calling for help, he lost both his legs. He was screaming; he was saying, 'Are you leaving me here? Please don't leave me'. We couldn't help him because we were running for our lives."

HRW researcher Nadia Hardman said "Saudi officials are killing hundreds of migrants and asylum seekers in this remote border area out of view of the rest of the world," according to a statement.

"Spending billions buying up professional golf, football clubs, and major entertainment events to improve the Saudi image should not deflect attention from these horrendous crimes," she said.

The United States on Monday voiced alarm over the report and urged a full investigation.

"We have raised our concerns about these allegations with the Saudi government," a State Department spokesperson said."We urge the Saudi authorities to undertake a thorough and transparent investigation and also to meet their obligations under international law."
Nothing, of course, will actually be done about it.


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Scamming the elderly

So unfortunately last week my family was a victim of people who scam the elderly out of thousands of dollars.

Perhaps they knew I was on vacation. Somebody called up my dad claiming to be me that I had been in a car accident and had been arrested. My nose was broken so I could not talk and so some other guy got on the phone claiming to be a lawyer and explained to my dad that I needed bail money. My dad correctly asked to speak to my wife but the guy said that my wife was in the hospital or something. My dad did call me to tell me that he had collected the cash to give to a man that was going to meet him at his building and I stupidly did not take the call because I was about to go on a tour of the Ben & Jerry's factory in Burlington, Vermont.

So yeah, my dad gave the man $4,500. I'm just glad they didn't ask my father to go meet him somewhere where he could have been beaten up or killed or who knows what.

My dad is a gullible, kind and caring man but I feel like this could happen to anybody. My dad said it sounded like me on the phone it may have sounded like me but I know very often my dad does not even recognize my voice anymore when I call. :(

If you do have an elderly parent please discuss situations like this with them and make sure they contact another trusted family member before they go ahead and make decisions like this.


And btw, mean people suck. I wonder if these events are done by organized groups.


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Just the First Republican Debate!

Just two days away now and I have so many questions!
Will Trump change his mind and show up?
Or will he upstage the event by turning himself in in Georgia?
How much of the conversation will be ABOUT Trump?
Will Fox ask the others about him? Or try to pretend he doesn't exist?
How many times will DeSantis mention "woke"? Or "CRT"?
Will anybody beat up on Pence or Christie for not defending Trump?

I don't plan to watch, at least not much. But I'm sure there'll be lots on the news and on line about it!


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dimanche 20 août 2023

Neonatal Nurse Lucy Letby killed babies in her care

This thread is to do with the criminology of the case. Issues about how and why the NHS failed to prevent the crimes is discussed here: http://www.internationalskeptics.com...d.php?t=367787


So, the sentencing of neonatal Nurse Lucy Letby, convicted of seven charges of murder and a further six of attempted murder is scheduled to happen tomorrow, Monday (21 August 2023). The only possible sentence according to statute is a whole life tariff, although it is possible Letby’s silk, Ben Myers KC, will argue mitigation such as diminished responsibility and the judge might defer sentencing for ‘further reports’. There is some outrage that convicted defendant has been allowed to refuse to turn up to face the music to hear her sentence and the impact statements of the victims. Some of the attempted murder charges overlap with the murder charges (for example, you can be guilty of both if they are on separate occasions). There were two verdicts of ‘Not Guilty’.

More details of the verdicts and charges can be found here on the Crown Prosecution Service webpage:
https://www.cps.gov.uk/cps/news/lucy...mpted%20murder.

Where the eleven-man jury failed to reach a 10-1 verdict (whether of guilty or not guilty), this resulted in a hung jury and these were six of them. One includes Child K, which is the point Dr Jayaram, who gave testimony, and was one of the ‘gang of four’ doctors who pressed for Letby to be removed from the neonatal unit became convinced of her malevolence. Dr Jayaram testified he saw Letby standing by Baby K’s cot doing nothing despite K being in a state of collapse. The pathologist reported that K’s liver showed injuries consistent with those of someone having been in a serious car accident.
Thus the judge, Justice James Goss, will also have to decide whether to let CPS know whether they can have another 28 days to bring the six hung verdicts back for a new trial or whether to just ‘keep them on file’. Given that police are now reviewing 4,000 other cases, including Letby’s time in 2012 at Liverpool Women’s Hospital, these might well be tried again.

Justice Goss of the Kings Bench has a reputation as a hardline judge, thus his remarks in sentencing are likely to be vituperative and utterly eviscerating, given Letby’s refusal to attend*. Although, bear in mind judges are also supposed to exhibit mercy.

Why did she do it?

IMV – my observation only – Letby shows a peculiarly childlike aspect to her personality. Her ability to disassociate implies to me an early childhood trauma. Not saying it is anything like child abuse but her father seems a strong domineering figure in her life, even turning up to her grievance hearing at the hospital to provide a witness statement, whilst Lucy sat impassively. The father received an apology from the doctors who complained about his daughter as well as Letby herself. The father was present at her home the morning she was arrested, having stayed overnight after returning from holiday in Devon. In her twenties, Letby still holidayed with her parents, John and Susan, three times a year. After her arrest and police search he tidied up her bedroom. He had designed the duvet cover embossed with the words, ‘Sweet Dreams’.

During police interviews and the trial itself, Letby appeared disassociated from the accusations, remaining calm and collected. The only time she showed any emotion was when from behind a screen she head the voice of the registrar on whom she had crush, the prosecutor, silk Nick Johnson KC claimed, to give evidence against her, whereupon she tried to flee in tears and had to be persuaded back. She claimed not to know what ‘in commando’ meant. She claimed the married registrar was ‘just a friend’, as though she needed to keep up an air of girlish innocence. This is what makes me consider a halted point in her childhood psychology. Some psychologists believe that certain psychopaths became such because of arrested psychological development in childhood. For example, Mary Bell, a child killer aged 12, who showed no remorse, had been used by her prostitute mother for use by clients whilst still a toddler. One of the boys in the James Bulger murder came from a background of dire poverty and incest. Obviously, Letby is middle class and has devoted parents. But her strange lack of emotion and childishness, together with an ability to dissociate from unpleasant circumstance such as a stressful court room hearing leads me to suspect an arrested childhood development. An abused child will bear the pain by means of placing their mind and emotions elsewhere, as it were, for example seeing themselves floating above their body or outside of it. With Letby, this appears to involve an overbearing father, not dissimilar to writer Sylvia’s Plath’s predicament, who as you know, had a Daddy Complex resulting in a persistent impulse to commit suicide and eventually did so. In one of her scribbled notes, left for the police to find, Letby writes, ‘I do not deserve Mum and Dad’.

It is possible her parents realised Letby’s lack of empathy at an early age, hence all the girly décor with motivating slogans such as ‘sparkle’ and encouraging a career in care, with her father overseeing her career advancement. That is not to say he has done anything wrong and it might be the first time the parents have even become fully aware of what their daughter had got up to with her 'caring' qualifications and vocation.

*Although there is no effective way of enforcing attendance given the sentence is ‘Life’ already.


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Russia's Luna-25 spacecraft crashes into Moon

Special lunar operation successfully intercepted the moon

It went in to rinse cycle too early

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66562629


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samedi 19 août 2023

Concerns over baby killer ignored?

Doctor who helped catch Lucy Letby says 'babies could've been saved' if hospital acted sooner
https://www.itv.com/news/2023-08-18/...lames-hospital
Quote:

The doctor who helped catch child-killer Lucy Letby has told ITV News that babies' lives could have been saved if hospital bosses had contacted police sooner.

Dr Ravi Jayaram, who is a consultant paediatrician at the Countess of Chester Hospital, said he repeatedly raised concerns about his former colleague months before police were alerted.

In an exclusive interview, he has detailed to ITV News how executives at the top of the organisation at the time told him to “draw a line” under his suspicions and to apologize to Lucy Letby for his accusations.
Can hospital administrators be held responsible for their actions when one of their employees kills someone?

Quote:

Eventually, in April 2017 the trust allowed doctors to meet with a police officer who took their suspicions seriously.

"The police, after listening to us for less than 10 minutes, realised that this is something that they had to be involved with. I could have punched the air," Dr Jayaram said.

Shortly afterwards, an investigation was launched and Letby was eventually arrested.
The trust allowed doctors to meet with a police officer? What kind of power does the trust have anyway?

The article makes it seem like the hospital admin was valuing their reputations over the lives of babies. Am I missing something here?

Ranb


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Total Hypothetical. What if Trump died in the next few months.

I'm not suggesting that anyone should kill DJT. Or anything crazy like that.


But what happens to the world if that happens? What happens to his co-conspirators? What happens to the court cases outstanding? What happens to the convicted Jan 6 rioters in prison? Or the MAGATS?

Any thoughts?


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vendredi 18 août 2023

Fake "SpaceX" Live Feed on YouTube

There's a fake "SpaceX" thing on YouTube right now with a fake Elon Musk scamming people to send their BitCoins and other cyrptocurrency to the scammers. They are promising to send you back double what you send to them.

https:// - broken on purpose - www. youtube . com / watch?v=y89D3ql-MT0


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Tropical Stoem wraning in California...

For the first time in it's history, the State of California issued a Troupical Storm warning as Hurrican Hillary approahced the coast.
But, hey, no such thing as Global Warming....


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The meat industry's harmful stranglehold on the western diet

Angry about the price of your tempeh? No, just me?

Anyway, apparently the meat industry on average receives 1000 times more public funding than much greener (and healthier) vegan alternatives.

https://www.theguardian.com/environm...es-study-finds
Quote:

The analysis of lobbying, subsidies and regulations showed that livestock farmers in the EU received 1,200 times more public funding than plant-based meat or cultivated meat groups. In the US, the animal farmers got 800 times more public funding.

[...]

Cutting meat consumption in rich nations is vital to tackling the climate crisis. Livestock production causes 15% of all global greenhouse emissions. Cutting meat and dairy consumption also slashes pollution, land and water use, and the destruction of forests, with scientists saying it is the single biggest way for people to reduce their impact on the planet.

[...]

“It’s not a level playing field at all at the moment,” Lambin said. “The new sector needs to be given its chance to expand and gain efficiency. After that, consumers will judge whether they like it or not, and scientists will judge whether it is really better for the environment and for health. But if it cannot even develop to a scale where we can make this assessment, it will be a lost opportunity to transition to a sustainable food system.”
As a vegan, this of course annoys me. I'm basically subsidising everyone's steaks.

Yeah, yeah, yeah, you can't win an election with beef at whatever per pound.


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Murder of Henrietta Nickens

"The case concerns Derrick Chappell, 41, Morton Johnson, 44, and Samuel Grasty, 47, who each were convicted in separate trials of second-degree murder [of a 70 year old woman near Philadelphia] and other charges in 2000 and 2001 and sentenced to life in prison...Tests on the DNA from the semen, however, did not match with any of them, according to the filing...Modern DNA testing techniques, particularly “touch DNA,” have revealed that the DNA from the semen matches several other items of crime scene evidence, including more semen on the green jacket and on the bedsheet and items in the jacket’s pocket, according to attorneys for the defendants."

Aside from the probable misuse of the term "touch DNA," the CNN report is a good article. I had thought that prosecutors would no longer put forth a theory of the crime involving an unindicted co-ejaculator (which is not a strictly accurate term). There is a good chance that Richard McElwee gave a false confession/accusation; his testimony seems to be by far the most significant evidence against the three. The NYT reported that an assistant district attorney is trying to uphold the convictions, writing "'Absent compelling evidence of innocence, the jury’s verdict should not be disturbed,' she wrote. 'The post-conviction DNA evidence is neither compelling nor is it evidence of innocence.'" The notion that the jury verdict should not be disturbed and the craving for finality are serious barriers in overturning wrongful convictions IMO.


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The wrongful and corrupt conviction of Alan Hall

Not wishing to bury the lead here, So I will say up front that last year Alan Hall's conviction was quashed, and this week, the NZ Government has awarded him NZ$5 million in damages and compensation.

https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/...d-imprisonment
"The Government will pay Alan Hall just under $5 million in compensation for wrongful conviction and imprisonment, Acting Justice Minister Deborah Russell announced today.

“The Government accepts Mr Hall’s innocence, and apologises unreservedly for his wrongful convictions and imprisonment,” Dr Russell said."

In 1986, Alan Hall was found guilty of the 1985 murder of Arthur Easton, a 52-year-old man, in a case that has been undoubtedly the worst miscarriage of justice in New Zealand's history.

Arthur Easton and his two teenage sons were attacked by an intruder who forcefully entered their residence wielding a Swiss bayonet. All three were stabbed, Arthur Easton bled to death.

During their investigation, police went door-knocking house-to-house in the neighborhood looking for information. When they met Alan Hall, he admitted he used to own a bayonet, but he gave conflicting information about what happened to it. Police then subjected him to hours of interrogation without a lawyer, on one occasion for eight hours, and another for 15 hours. It was later diagnosed that Hall was autistic, which made him extremely vulnerable to suggestion.

This was a classic case of the police deciding very early on that they had their man, and they stopped looking for anyone else. Instead they framed Hall for the murder, and this is how they did it.

Physical Evidence
There was no physical evidence that Alan Hall had ever been to the crime scene. No blood, no hairs, no fingerprints. Police were never able to show that Hall owned or had ever been in possession of the murder weapon - the Swiss bayonet.

Also, one of Easton's teenage sons had smashed a squash racket over the attacker's head multiple times, deforming the racket until it broke in two, yet Hall had no injuries.

Fabricated Evidence
The teenage boys described their attacker as a 6ft tall, strong Maori. An independent witness also reported that he had seen a tall Maori man running away from the house around the time of the attack. The suspect, Alan Hall was a white, 5ft 7in, slightly-built and asthmatic.

So how did the Police deal with this?

1. The teenage boys were too traumatized to testify in court, so the Police read the boys' statements into the record as evidence (this is allowed under NZ Law). The problem is that the Police edited out the part of the report about the ethnicity, height and weight of the attacker. The judge read that account to the jury, not knowing that the Police had altered it.

2. The Police also used the statement of an independent witness, a person who lived nearby, and who told the Police that the attacker was a tall Maori. Again they edited that statement to remove any mention of the attacker's physical description. They further altered the statement, claiming to have shown him a blue sweatshirt which belonged to Hall; and claiming that the independent witness said that it matched the sweatshirt of the man he saw running away. While Hall actually did own a blue sweatshirt, a receipt showed it was purchased in December 1985, two months after the murder took place. Hall's sister told the court that he had been wearing a red sweatshirt at the time. Again, the judge was unaware of the changes the Police had made to that statement when he read it to the jury.

3. The Police concealed from the defense, the existence of a second independent witness, the ambulance officer who spoke with the two boys on the night of the attack. In the US, this would be a "Brady Violation" but in New Zealand at that time, there was no "discovery" requirement - withholding witness reports was legal. There were no discovery rules in NZ until it was introduced in 2012.

This is yet another case, like that of Scott Watson and Mark Lundy, where Police decided early that they had their man, stopped looking for other suspects and proceeded to sledge-hammer ill-fitting evidence into place, hiding exculpatory evidence, and fabricating other evidence is what we call a "fit up" - Police corruption at its absolute worst.

https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/128...wn-admits?rm=a

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wrongf...n_of_Alan_Hall


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jeudi 17 août 2023

Is Trump disqualified from the ballot by the 14th Amendmend?

The New York Times is reporting that "two prominent conservative law professors have concluded that Donald J. Trump is ineligible to be president under a provision of the Constitution that bars people who have engaged in an insurrection from holding government office." According to the professors, he can not even appear on ballots, and any state election official who allows him to can be sued.

The Washington Post has published two opinion pieces largely siding with this view, and one of the pieces states that it "now seems inevitable" that this challenge to Trump's eligibility will be tested by the Supreme Court.

Media all over the political spectrum are reporting on this, and none that I have seen are calling the idea wrong.

Sources:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/10/u...ervatives.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...al-presidency/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...qualification/
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trum...-court-1819108


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Stealing the 2024 election

What avenues are open for Trump to steal the 2024 election? It's not too early to to think about it.*
  • State legislatures sending alternate delegates after state certification and before Senate certification - did the recent SCOTUS decision nip that in the bud?
  • Senate challenge of electors - could happen, couldn't it?
  • States making it more difficult to vote - is happening, isn't it?
What else?

* As I recall, I was the first (?) person at ISF to mention that one crucial fulcrum of the 2020 election steal was Mike Pence ( http://www.internationalskeptics.com...7#post13316137). Dec. 5 2020 seems a late date for the first mention of Pence's crucial role, but I'll gladly accept an earlier post.


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Sir Michael Parkinson has died, aged 88

The Guardian has reported that Sir Michael Parkinson has died, aged 88.

https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-r...t-dies-aged-88


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Stoned again...

Here's a nice video of Roger Stone dictating a letter planning the false elector plot before the election was even called. Why hasn't HE been indicted yet???

(Skip ahead about 5 minutes to just see the video if you like.)

https://www.msnbc.com/the-beat-with-...e-190982725545


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Canadian wildfires forcing multiple evacuations

I started this in the Maui wildfire thread but the deeper I went into the article it became clear this wasn't just about Yellowknife outskirts being evacuated.

One silver lining of the Maui tragedy, other people might be more willing to evacuate sooner.

‘Real threat to city’: Yellowknife in Canada evacuates as wildfire nears
Quote:

20,000 residents of capital of Northwest Territories ordered to leave after forecast that wildfire 11 miles away could arrive by the weekend ...

On Tuesday night, local authorities had declared a territory-wide state of emergency and an evacuation order for the outskirts of Yellowknife, a city with a population of 20,000. ..
The article lists fire after fire across Canada with evacuations everywhere.

That global warming tipping point comes to mind with the permafrost melting and releasing methane. Then there is the peat itself that burns well when it dries out.


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mercredi 16 août 2023

Bacon's Going to Get Cheaper!

This is potentially sensational news. Well, it is for our family, as my youngest (14) has a 15-25% chance of needing a kidney transplant in the next 20 years.

Quote:

The pig kidney appears to replace all of the important tasks that the human kidney manages
His brother already offered his kidney for transplant, but much better he can keep his kidney and eat the spare bacon!

https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/world...to-humans.html


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mardi 15 août 2023

Trump and Jail

This topic seems to be in every thread and is cluttering up discussion on the indictments.

To get things started in here:

https://www.axios.com/2023/08/03/rep...ll-jan-6-trial

Quote:

45% of Republicans said they would not vote for Trump if he were convicted of a felony by a jury, while 35% said they would.

52% said they wouldn't vote for him if he were in prison at the time of the election, while 28% said they would.
Go for it.

Will Trump go to jail?

Which jail will he go to?

Will he win the nomination/election if he's in jail?

Could he run the USA if he's in jail?


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[Continuation] The One Covid-19 Science and Medicine Thread Part 5

Mod Info Thread continued from here.
Posted By:Agatha




Quote:

Originally Posted by jt512 (Post 14140069)
He's right. It's p-hacking 101. The probability of a false positive conventional significance test is 0.05. He's provided a succinct explanation of the essence of the reproducibility crisis.

Then why did at least one of the controls, nail biting, not show the same correlation?
Quote:

We did not find an association between nail biting and the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. This might be explained by the protective effects of salivary proteins which were recently demonstrated to inhibit SARS-CoV-2 spike protein binding to the ACE2 receptor [30], making the mouth merely an exit rather than an entrance route for viral transmission [24].

In addition the study is supported by the hypothesis the nose is a portal of entry, especially if directly inoculated.

And multiple past studies have shown doctors don't was their hands as often as infection control guidelines require. Here's one of many found with an easy search:
Why don't doctors wash their hands? A correlational study of thinking styles and hand hygiene.

One might find, however that the correlation is explained by hand hygiene rather than nose picking. And, I agree like all of these studies, it needs to be repeated, something we never do enough of.

Dismissing the results with casual handwaving suggests the researchers were stupid and I doubt they were.


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lundi 14 août 2023

Australian Woman 'poisoned in-laws and the vicar with death cap mushrooms'

Erin Patterson is a 'person of interest' after her mother and father in law plus a pastor at the dinner as a counsellor died shortly after eating it.

Quote:

Patterson, 45, prepared the meal at her home in the rural town of Leongatha on 29 July for her former parents-in-law Don and Gail Patterson, Gail’s sister Heather Wilkinson and Heather’s husband, Ian Wilkinson.

The Pattersons, both 70, have since died, as has Heather Wilkinson, 66. Ian Wilkinson, a 68-year-old Baptist church pastor, remains in a critical condition in hospital.
GUARDIAN

So police suspect she picked so-called Angel of Death mushrooms at this stage by mistake, whilst they investigate, and these were the cause of the fatalities and severe illness. Patterson was said to be thinking of getting back with her husband from whom she was separated and her in-laws wanted to talk her out of it.

Police found a food hydrator on a tip. Patterson claimed she disposed of it there a while ago so now police are looking for cctv to ascertain (a) the time she dumped it and (b) whether it has traces of the deadly fungus.

I have to say, when I was watching the scene of her speaking to the press in front of her car her sobbing looked fake to me. Frantically wiping her eyes but there were no tears! Talk about theatrical. She also claims some of the mushrooms came from an Asian shop in Melbourne, so once again we have an audacious 'Karen'-type trying to blame a mysterious black/brown guy.

Quote:

Victorian woman at centre of suspected mushroom poisoning says she also went to hospital after eating meal
Erin Patterson tells police she bought the fungi from a supermarket chain and an Asian grocery store
ibid

I predict this woman will soon be charged with murder and attempted murder.


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[Ed] Life means...

I think this belongs in this sub-forum...

Anyway, just been watching an episode of Forensic Detectives in which one of the murderers was sentenced to 'Life plus ten years'.

I presume this doesn't mean they stay in jail until they die and are then kept in the jail (on display as an awful warning?) for ten years. And that 'life' means a (large) number of years (allowing for good behaviour etc), after which the convict serves another ten years?

Also, I suppose such a sentence rules out early release on parole?


ETA: Er, mods, could you swap the 'w' in the thread title for an 'e'? Thanks.


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Justifiable outrage in Kansas

I see the story is now making national news - the police raid on the Marion County Record, a local newspaper.

https://www.kake.com/story/49404486/...and-cellphones

It's being called an attack on the 1st Amendment, and that seems fair to me.


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dimanche 13 août 2023

The Georgia Criminal Case Against Trump

It appears certain that Trump is going to be indicted in the GA "It was a perfect phone call/ Just find me 11,780 votes" case.

It's been reported that the GA prosecutors have texts and emails that show Giuliani and Sidney Powell, et al were involved in the illegal attempt to breach the voting system in Fulton County
Quote:


Atlanta District Attorney Fani Willis and her team of prosecutors have text messages that connect some of former President Donald Trump’s legal team to a voting system breach in a rural Georgia county, CNN reported—as Willis prepares for indictments in her long-running investigation into Trump’s attempts to overturn his 2020 election loss.

Texts and emails obtained by prosecutors suggest the early 2021 breach in Coffee County—in which people attempted to access voting machines to create evidence of voter fraud—was led by members of Trump’s team, rather than local Trump supporters acting alone, people close to the investigation told CNN.

The text messages reportedly show members of Trump’s legal team—including former New York City mayor and Trump attorney Rudy Giuliani—and people they hired received a “written invitation” to access the voting machines, as they sought to access the county’s voting system before the certification of President Joe Biden’s electoral win.

The texts showed the invitation was written by Misty Hampton, a former county official who previously made the baseless claim that Dominion voting machines could be easily manipulated, CNN said.

CNN reported Giuliani, Trump attorney Sidney Powell and members of a team hired to investigate voter fraud in Georgia knew of the “written invitation” and indicated in a December White House meeting they were excited about obtaining “voluntary access” to the machines.

The Georgia Secretary of State’s office has called the Coffee County breach “unauthorized access”—Georgia law requires permission from the Secretary of State before any software is “loaded onto or maintained or used on computers on which the election management system software is located.”


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The Hay Poisoner.

A little over a century ago one Herbert Armstrong was hanged for the murder of his wife.
Now the dubious evidence of pathologist Bernard Spilsbury is being re-examined.
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-wales-66439470


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vendredi 11 août 2023

How many "political" people actually have a political philosophy?

What portion of the U.S. population do you think "became political" by learning about politics and governance from first principles, or at least were well informed about how things work and how things came to be, rather than getting into politics almost entirely through media consumption?

I think at some point all sides do gravitate to their own political bubble, but I think the major thing that distinguishes an informed political observer from a braindead media junkie is the ability to draw lines and not cross them (or acknowledge it'd be a major compromise of their principles to cross them).

When Donald Trump said he wants to expand presidential powers in 2025, I did notice a few rightwingers among the drones who had the courage to say they were concerned about government overreach and disapproved of it.

Also, the dynamics work a bit differently when your political career is at stake, so let's stick to regular folks. Family, friends, the guys at work who memorize catchphrases and parrot their favorite media talking points, people who don't have much to lose by being wrong or offending anyone.


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In Texas, fetuses have rights, unless the state causes their death.

A prison guard says she was forced to stay at her post during labor pains. Texas is fighting compensation for her stillbirth.

Quote:

The seven-months-pregnant officer reported contraction-like pains at work, but said she wasn’t allowed to leave for hours. The anti-abortion state is fighting her lawsuit, in part by saying her fetus didn’t clearly have rights.

On a warm November night, Salia Issa had just begun her shift as an Abilene prison officer when she felt the intense pain of what she believed was a contraction.

Seven months pregnant, Issa said she quickly alerted her supervisors. She told them she needed to go to the hospital but knew prison policy wouldn’t allow her to leave her post until someone could replace her.

No one came for hours.

Issa kept calling for relief, but her supervisor repeatedly refused her, even telling her she was lying, according to a federal lawsuit filed against the Texas Department of Criminal Justice and prison officials.

“You just want to go home,” the supervisor allegedly told her.

Eventually, two and a half hours after the pain started, the expectant mother said she was allowed to leave the Middleton Unit. As quickly as the pain would allow her, Issa drove to a nearby hospital, where doctors rushed her into emergency surgery after being unable to find a fetal heartbeat. The baby was delivered stillborn.

If Issa had gotten to the hospital sooner, medical personnel told her, the baby would have survived, the lawsuit claims.

Nearly a year later, Issa and her husband, Fiston Rukengeza, on behalf of themselves and their unborn child, sued TDCJ and three of Issa’s supervisors — Brandy Hooper, Desmond Thompson and Alonzo Hammond. They argue the state caused the death of their child by violating state and federal laws as well as the U.S. Constitution, and they are seeking money to cover medical costs and funeral expenses and to compensate for pain and suffering.

But the prison agency and the Texas attorney general’s office, which has staked its reputation on “defending the unborn” all the way up to the U.S. Supreme Court, are arguing the agency shouldn’t be held responsible for the stillbirth because staff didn’t break the law. Plus, they said, it’s not clear that Issa’s fetus had rights as a person.

“Just because several statutes define an individual to include an unborn child does not mean that the Fourteenth Amendment does the same,” the Texas attorney general’s office wrote in a March footnote, referring to the constitutional right to life.
You can't have an abortion in Texas, but the state can kill your fetus and refuse to take any responsibility.


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Tenpenny finally suspended

https://edzardernst.com/2023/08/an-o...te-suspension/

Finally a state medical board has suspended a well-known anti-vax conspiracy theorist, but not for spouting arrant nonsense and conspiracies. Oh, no. Failure to cooperate with an investigation...

Oh well, I suppose that at least sidesteps the "butt muh freezpeach" non-arguments.

Who's next, then?


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jeudi 10 août 2023

Fermilab closes in on fifth force of nature

Scientists at Fermilab close in on fifth force of nature

Quote:

Scientists near Chicago say they may be getting closer to discovering the existence of a new force of nature.

They have found more evidence that sub-atomic particles, called muons, are not behaving in the way predicted by the current theory of sub-atomic physics.

Scientists believe that an unknown force could be acting on the muons.

More data will be needed to confirm these results, but if they are verified, it could mark the beginning of a revolution in physics.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66407099


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Deadly wildfires in Maui

At least 36 people have died in Maui wildfires that overwhelmed hospitals, demolished homes and destroyed cultural sites.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/10/us/ma...-dora-thursday


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mercredi 9 août 2023

Feinstein hospitalized..again.

This time in San Francisco.
This farce has gone on for too long. I still think the California Democratic Party was basically dumb to let her skate to the Nomination again.


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Ohio votes down state constitution change.

Ohio voters have defeated an effort to modify the state constitution so that changes to the constitution would require a 60% majority as opposed to 50%+.

https://www.npr.org/2023/08/08/11916...-ballot-voters

This was a thinly disguised power grab by the state GOP who are trying desperately to avoid Ohio from passing an amendment protecting abortion. Despite being a GOP state, this move was very unpopular, hence why the election was held in August and some other stunts like moving poll locations and other games were played, but to no effect as the loss was 57%-43%.


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The Boy in the Water Case: US Crime Scene Investigator Karen Smith slams NZ police..

.. over their "pathetic" investigation.

Tell us something new love... most of us who follow criminology and criminal cases in this country already know that our cops are lousy investigators, as evidenced by the complete pig's breakfast they made of the Bain and the Lundy investigations.

https://www.newsroom.co.nz/us-detect...ation-pathetic

Karen Smith, a retired American crime scene investigator, has spent more than 400 hours investigating the death of Gore toddler Lachie Jones and says the police investigation into his death was an “across the board system failure".

In an interview from her home in the United States, Smith explains why she is working on the case pro bono after being contacted by a friend from New Zealand.
"I have seen a lot of really bad police investigations in my time. I’ve made mistakes of my own, so I’m not perfect. But the lack of effort, the lack of circumspection, the lack of taking the information and going ‘maybe we got this wrong, maybe we need to look in a different direction’. I think it’s pathetic.

Smith tells Newsroom she thinks there were two forms of bias that crept into the investigation into Lachie’s death – anchoring bias and confirmation bias.

"Anchoring bias is when that first piece of information drives the rest of it without any consideration of other alternatives. Confirmation bias is when every single piece of evidence or information you find you slam that square peg into the round hole and try to make it fit into your initial thought. So I think both of those types of bias really pushed this case, to the detriment of anything to the alternative. And that is a huge problem in any investigation."

Those of us familiar with the Scott Watson case will recognize this aspect.



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lundi 7 août 2023

Demonstration of telekinetic fork-bending?

In this video, an author who teaches remote viewing, telekinesis, etc. is teaching a workshop on spoon-bending. Check the video (right side) at 55:00.

STILL SKEPTICAL?


https://youtu.be/z9tBK3KcXvg?t=3305


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