dimanche 11 octobre 2020

Why haven't we heard from North Korea lately?

Oh, there they are.

https://in.reuters.com/article/us-no...-idUSKBN26V01K

Gigantic new ICBMs got shown off at a parade... going by size, the kind that the USA, UK, France, USSR/Russia, and China have has sitting & waiting to go around the world at each other for decades.

I don't believe it's real. When these folks have a new missile working, they throw a few tests into the ocean. And there were several on parade, and you don't do production on that scale with new technology that hasn't been tested. You might also notice that the last few years without new missile tests have also been without nuclear tests. The program seems to have had some setbacks. Driving some empty mock-ups around is the kind of thing that country would do in response to that situation.

But if it is real, it also still doesn't mean they can deliver nukes over here with it yet; it just means they're a big step closer.

For anybody thinking this isn't news because they already could nuke us a few years ago: the claim that they "have nuclear weapons" was just the hyperbole that kept getting passed around for a while after they made a couple of nuclear explosions. But there are two more challenges after that point before you really have nuclear weapons. For that, they would have needed to make the explosive devices small enough and a missile with enough payload & range. We knew their biggest missile before now wasn't enough even for a well-miniaturized nuclear bomb or to reach us here, and we knew that when you're first learning to make nuclear explosions your first couple of tests are not miniaturized. So what they're announcing with this parade is that they have solved one side of that challenge.


via International Skeptics Forum https://ift.tt/2SLiFBq

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