lundi 30 mars 2020

Covid-19, the Territory Anomaly

This is something that's been bugging me for some time, and the subject keeps getting lost in the general thread, so I'm posting separately to try to get some help figuring out what's going on.

There are four glaring examples of places that should be knee-deep in corpses, but aren't.

Japan, Australia, Canada & Hawaii.

Japan has had the schools closed, while Australia & Hawaii have not. All three have had far weaker social distancing/shutdown rules than almost all other territories. (I'm excluding SK, HK & Singapore, as they acted differently from the start.)

All of Hawaii, Australia & Japan are massive destinations for Chinese tourists - which is unquestionably how everywhere else has been infected, and in the case of Japan, were very early starters in the infection stakes. Canada has the same massive Chinese diaspora that led to them getting hit by SARS.

The populations of the four couldn't be more diverse, although Aussie & Canada are pretty similar. Japan & Hawaii's numbers should look like NYC, while Aussie & Canada should look more like USA, yet none of that is happening.

The infection rates in all those countries aren't rising as fast, the disease has an infinitely lower mortality rate and they are not being as badly impacted as over 100 other nations.

Canada could be a result of superior testing and tracing as in Germany & South Korea, but that's not the case for Australia, Japan & Hawaii. Aussie is testing now, but they lagged behind for ages and even let a load of infected passengers off a cruise ship, following Japan's lead, but no explosion of cases.

Nothing makes sense - different climates, different populations, different genetics, different demographics...

It seems to me the answer - if there is one - might be quite important.

Any suggestions?


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