mercredi 27 mars 2019

Dunning-Kruger in graphical form

The Dunning-Kruger effect is that the stupider you are, the more you over-estimate your intelligence.

It's stark seeing it in graphical form, and numerical equivalents, so here goes:



That figure is from an Unz Review piece on the original article here:

http://www.unz.com/jthompson/folie-a-deux/

In this graph, we compare actual IQ scores to self-estimates of our IQ, by IQ Quartile. Use the "Distal" SEI (Self Estimate of Intelligence) vs. IQ line.

The bottom quartile IQ, having an average of 83, estimates their own IQ to be 103. Their IQ is two standard deviations lower than they think. Incredible.

The next quartile IQ, coming in at 95, also over-estimates their IQ, but only one standard deviation: thinking it 106.

The third quartile IQ averages 105 in measured IQ, and likes to think of themselves as 109.

Finally, the highest IQ quartile, coming in at 117 IQ, thinks it only 116. They are the only group that underestimates their own intelligence, and only slightly so.

Suppression of IQ differences seems extremely important in PC culture. Because racial differences in IQ strikes at the heart of the phony white privilege narrative. The Asians do better than caucasians, who in turn do better than blacks and crime statistics follow logically in tandem as well.

But for the individual, regardless of your race, gender, whatever - it is vitally important to have self-awareness. We have an "everyone gets a ribbon" psychology towards education, everyone can get a high school diploma; everyone can get a college diploma...

Which promotes Dunning-Kruger. If you have an IQ of 83, you are below the Army enlistment standard. And you think you are above average IQ. Logically, you can make medical school with a 106 IQ, but the Army knows you are not even smart enough to march in a straight line.

An IQ = 83 is fine for welding two pieces of steel together. Even with an IQ of 83 it is something you can do as an adolescent, no problem. Journeyman welder by 16. Six figure income, retire with an Island in the Pacific.

What you need is a trade. Fortunately, trade schools have almost vanished, and it is illegal to work at trades like construction until you are 18 anyway so apprenticeships, nope.

Anyway, this has more general application, like to the forum. The stupider someone is, the less self-awareness they have about exactly how stupid they are.


via International Skeptics Forum https://ift.tt/2UYZlQT

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