mardi 31 octobre 2023

Effect of Hamas Attacks and Israeli Reponse on US Politics

There's already a thread on the effect on Israeli politics, but it is becoming clear that there may be a significant impact in the US as well. The National Muslim Democratic Council sent an ultimatum to the White House yesterday:

Quote:

The situation in Gaza has reached a critical juncture, nearing a complete humanitarian catastrophe, and we implore you to take immediate action to secure a ceasefire by Tuesday, October 31st at 5 p.m. EST. As President, you possess the power and responsibility to influence this situation and work toward a just and enduring resolution. A ceasefire stands as the crucial first step to prevent further loss of life and suffering in Gaza.

We pledge to mobilize Muslim, Arab, and allied voters to withhold endorsement, support, or votes for any candidate who did not advocate for a ceasefire and endorse the Israeli offensive against the Palestinian people.
That deadline of course has passed, without a call from the White House for a ceasefire. And while it may seem like an empty threat, it is plain that Biden is losing support from Arabs:

Quote:

Support for his upcoming reelection bid from Arab Americans dropped by 42 percentage points, from 59 percent in 2020 to 17 percent, according to a new poll conducted by the Arab American Institute.

The poll found that if the election were held today, 40 percent said they would vote for former President Trump, the GOP front-runner. In 2020, 35 percent of those polled said they would vote for him.
And it's not just the Arabs; the kids aren't alright:

Quote:

But none of the ways that Biden has responded to the conflict have been received favorably by young Americans. That same Quinnipiac poll found that 51 percent of voters under 35 say they disapprove of the United States’ sending weapons and military support to Israel—a much higher figure than the 28 percent of Americans who oppose such a policy. Only 21 percent of voters under 35 say they approve of Biden’s Israel policy; 42 percent of voters across all age brackets approve.
Note that the Slate article definitely pushes the take that Biden should change his mind and quickly:

Quote:

Still, if Biden does lose in 2024, and young people don’t turn out, many Democrats will be quick to blame the listless youth for not taking seriously the stakes of the election. But that critique would also be directly applicable to Biden, who, staring down a close and critical reelection campaign that could decide the fate of American democracy, seems content to endanger votes that he needs in pursuit of an unpopular policy.


via International Skeptics Forum https://ift.tt/lQN8w7O

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