lundi 7 novembre 2022

International Labour Crisis

If you've been awake for last six months, you'll be aware that there is presently a massive need for workers across the developed world.

USA, Canada, Australia, NZ, UK, France, even Japan is finally seeing it as well.

Covid is clearly to blame for the suddenness of the crisis, but it had been getting close to boiling just before covid hit, so the root problem is much earlier than 2020.

This table, from USA, shows where the growth is going to be over the next decade, and that matches with what I know from NZ, Aussie and UK, with an additional bit missing that seasonal labour won't grow a lot, but their shortages are even greater than the ones shown.

The problem I have is that solving the OECD's crisis by stealing all the competent people from developing nations is just shifting the problem onto poor countries, whose infrastructure is already a mess. One lesson the world failed to learn from covid was the need for co-ordination between health authorities, and if we rich countries destroy the systems inside developing nations, I fear it will be to our detriment over time.

Not only don't I have an answer, I'm not even sure one exists.

The other problem which isn't being mentioned anywhere is infrastructure. Canada may have the luxury of being able to build infrastructure for the 1.5 million incoming people, but if NZ hired 150,000 people right now they better want to live in tents and **** in a hole, because it will take us a lot longer to build the infrastructure to handle the people than it will to hire them.


via International Skeptics Forum https://ift.tt/slRX6Mp

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