jeudi 16 juin 2016

Politics light math

About 50% of Americans like and dislike Hilary
About 70% of Americans dislike Trump
So check me on this: Say there are 100,000,000 voters as a round guess.
50,000,000 like Hilary
30,000,000 like Trump
20,000,000 don't like either
Split the difference and I would guess that 10,000,000 dislikes go with either.
Head to head I predict 60% for H 40% for T. Actual polls suggest 12% lead for H. What happens with the 8% difference? Is there a simple correction for my procedure?


via International Skeptics Forum http://ift.tt/1PwduLp

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