These recent polls where democrats are over-sampled in order to give Clinton an alleged polling lead over Trump deserve scrutiny. First of all, the so-called major parties are both minor parties compared to independents:
http://ift.tt/2bpyGdU
It's 42% identifying as independents, 29% democrats, and 26% republicans as of 2015. By 2016 in May, it was 28% democrats and 27% republicans - a 1% difference in the minor parties.
This American Thinker piece describes how the 11% lead was accomplished for clinton, by surveying 49% democrats, 39% republicans, 8% independents and 3% other party. Talk about biasing the results. A factor of ten times more democrats sampled as compared with the actual difference between those identifying as D vs. R, which is 1%.
http://ift.tt/2bpyNWL
One important factor ignored in the polls too is turnout. Hillary is such a plague that they couldn't fill Des Moines Lincoln High School on a day kids were registering for school. I competed in that high school auditorium myself in sports, I know it well.
Trump sold out Ft. Lauderdale at 12,000. He's had over 20,000. And he has been doing that all over the country.
So these polls oversampling democrats are wrong on a couple of grounds. One is the disproportionate over-sampling of democrats - half the sample in the one above for Christ's sake! The other is the obvious enthusiasm of the Trump supporters and the lack of enthusiasm for Clinton among the minor parties (republican vs. democrats).
We Independents are the major party. Don't listen to the sophistry of either minor party. We want concessions out of these two turds. Otherwise we go with Greens, Libertarians, or in the case of a lot of Democrats - they obviously are just not showing up.
http://ift.tt/2bpyGdU
It's 42% identifying as independents, 29% democrats, and 26% republicans as of 2015. By 2016 in May, it was 28% democrats and 27% republicans - a 1% difference in the minor parties.
This American Thinker piece describes how the 11% lead was accomplished for clinton, by surveying 49% democrats, 39% republicans, 8% independents and 3% other party. Talk about biasing the results. A factor of ten times more democrats sampled as compared with the actual difference between those identifying as D vs. R, which is 1%.
http://ift.tt/2bpyNWL
One important factor ignored in the polls too is turnout. Hillary is such a plague that they couldn't fill Des Moines Lincoln High School on a day kids were registering for school. I competed in that high school auditorium myself in sports, I know it well.
Trump sold out Ft. Lauderdale at 12,000. He's had over 20,000. And he has been doing that all over the country.
So these polls oversampling democrats are wrong on a couple of grounds. One is the disproportionate over-sampling of democrats - half the sample in the one above for Christ's sake! The other is the obvious enthusiasm of the Trump supporters and the lack of enthusiasm for Clinton among the minor parties (republican vs. democrats).
We Independents are the major party. Don't listen to the sophistry of either minor party. We want concessions out of these two turds. Otherwise we go with Greens, Libertarians, or in the case of a lot of Democrats - they obviously are just not showing up.
via International Skeptics Forum http://ift.tt/2aRvJmJ
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