The Trump Presidency: Part 24

Quote:

Originally Posted by Skeptic Ginger (Post 13165650) Yeeaah No. I don't know why so many people in this thread believes 51% or more of the electorate is outright stupid. 40% is incredibly sad. But Trump is incompetent and some stupid last minute con isn't going to cut it. Trump lost the popular vote by 3 million votes. That's a hell of a lot. He only won the Electoral College by a small margin. Biden hasn't suffered decades of political attacks like Clinton has. Bernie learned his lesson (or I think he did) and he didn't attack Biden like he attacked Biden. There is a scandal about Hunter Biden's earning money on his father's name. But Trump can't really use that considering he's put his daughter in a WH job. He can try, but it won't be an effective Oct surprise. All this doomsaying because Trump was successful as a con man 4 years ago is silly. His base might remain conned. But that middle swing vote is not. His incompetent handling of the COVID crisis is not going to be assuaged because a vaccine is ready by October. And it won't be distributed to the masses right away. The first doses will go to health care workers. After that it's high risk people next. By then (using the most optimistic vaccine schedule) we'll be well past the election. Sure, his 40% might credit Trump for fast-tracking the vaccine. But everyone else including the important middle/swing vote will see the vaccine is being developed around the world without any special intervention by Trump.

President Trump doesn't need 51%, he just needs around 45% of the votes that people are able to, or are willing to, cast.

Even if "only" 40% of people approve of him, if turnout among that 40% is significantly higher than it is among the electorate in general then he can easily get 45% of the votes cast.

We've seen a million, mostly poor, ex-felons disenfranchised (or more accurately not re-enfranchised) in Florida and that's just the tip of the GOP roll-purging. Throw in a healthy dose of too few polling stations in Democrat-leaning districts, large-scale throwing out of postal votes from those same districts (to prevent voter fraud ;)), unofficial "security" at polling stations to intimidate minorities and I can see that a significantly lower proportion of non-Trump supporters are able to vote, or to have their vote count.

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Posted By:zooterkin

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