lundi 3 février 2020

Democratic caucuses and primaries

The voting for Democratic nominee officially kicks off tonight in Iowa, and I'd like to have a thread in which we try to game out how it all shakes out on one side of the aisle, preferably in quantifiable terms.

Personally I think Bernie is going to finish very strong tonight, probably taking the plurality of the initial vote and perhaps state delegate equivalents awarded as well. I'll be surprised if Biden isn't right behind him. I'd love to be surprised by an Elizabeth Warren surge or a fabled Amy KlobuCHARGE, but that's not in the cards. :(


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