Some people have a hobby, like tennis or philately
I have a hobby, re-reading Lady Chatterley
(Tom Lehrer may be the greatest source of ear worms in my life)
My hobby (not that there's anything wrong with Lawrence) is watching over the liars at RCP. They've become the Go To for poll averages, but not only do they manipulate the polls while giving the appearance of political neutrality, but they link to a whole lot of news article, seemingly from a cross-section of the political spectrum but with an obvious agenda.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/realcl...ar-right-memes
First, as to their poll averaging... I noticed early in '18 that they were changing dates around rather arbitrarily. They'd have a sampling of, say, 12 polls with an overall "Disapprove/Approve Margin" at something under 10% on average. Those polls might be from between 1 and 15 days ago, or 1 and 30 days ago. It seemed to always manage to come out something below 10%. That target is no longer attainable, but they still do whatever they can to keep those approve/disapprove numbers more palatable to their conservative readership and sponsors. Two weeks ago, as the tried and trusted Rasmussen was slipping into negative numbers (upon Pelosi's announcement of impeachment hearings), they discovered a new bellwether, the Hill/Harris X poll which is pretty horrible and is an outlier and coincidentally the only poll that shows Trump in a close to positive regard.
By picking a current cut-off that excludes, in this case, Gallup (-16% for a poll taken in the 2nd half of September) and discovering Hill/HarrisX (-2%), they keep Trump at an approval rating almost 2% points better than the fivethirtyeight average.
But still, they have that seemingly bipartisan coverage of news articles, so they offer some solace to the people who think 11% Disapprove is a good number. "Seemingly" because more often than not, if they link to an article in the NYT, WaPo, or even the LA Times, Boston Herald, St.Louis Post Dispatch (just naming moderate-to-liberal news organizations I've seen on the RCP site), those are quite often Op-Ed or Guest Columns by conservatives. It gives the cursory appearance of offering up "balanced" coverage and is enough to fool those willing to be fooled. I believe the appearance of being non-partisan is useful in selling their polling agglomeration and the popularity of the polling agglomeration helps sell their ultra-conservative slant on things.
Now, thanks to the sharp eyes of another ebil liberal member, we have an actual indication of just who RCP really are.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/realcl...ar-right-memes
The article is longer than the attention span of most conservatives, but it's pretty damning. It also goes to explain where they get all those nasty reactionary comment-ers to their news articles (check out the comments on articles written by RCP staff); they come from their nasty-assed rumor mongering yellow journalism site.
ETA: I arbitrarily posted the link twice. People don't get to the bottom of lengthier posts and that link is really the inspiration for the thread/post. I don't expect a long thread on this; it's my pet obsession and people don't seem terribly interested in the topic.
I have a hobby, re-reading Lady Chatterley
(Tom Lehrer may be the greatest source of ear worms in my life)
My hobby (not that there's anything wrong with Lawrence) is watching over the liars at RCP. They've become the Go To for poll averages, but not only do they manipulate the polls while giving the appearance of political neutrality, but they link to a whole lot of news article, seemingly from a cross-section of the political spectrum but with an obvious agenda.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/realcl...ar-right-memes
First, as to their poll averaging... I noticed early in '18 that they were changing dates around rather arbitrarily. They'd have a sampling of, say, 12 polls with an overall "Disapprove/Approve Margin" at something under 10% on average. Those polls might be from between 1 and 15 days ago, or 1 and 30 days ago. It seemed to always manage to come out something below 10%. That target is no longer attainable, but they still do whatever they can to keep those approve/disapprove numbers more palatable to their conservative readership and sponsors. Two weeks ago, as the tried and trusted Rasmussen was slipping into negative numbers (upon Pelosi's announcement of impeachment hearings), they discovered a new bellwether, the Hill/Harris X poll which is pretty horrible and is an outlier and coincidentally the only poll that shows Trump in a close to positive regard.
By picking a current cut-off that excludes, in this case, Gallup (-16% for a poll taken in the 2nd half of September) and discovering Hill/HarrisX (-2%), they keep Trump at an approval rating almost 2% points better than the fivethirtyeight average.
But still, they have that seemingly bipartisan coverage of news articles, so they offer some solace to the people who think 11% Disapprove is a good number. "Seemingly" because more often than not, if they link to an article in the NYT, WaPo, or even the LA Times, Boston Herald, St.Louis Post Dispatch (just naming moderate-to-liberal news organizations I've seen on the RCP site), those are quite often Op-Ed or Guest Columns by conservatives. It gives the cursory appearance of offering up "balanced" coverage and is enough to fool those willing to be fooled. I believe the appearance of being non-partisan is useful in selling their polling agglomeration and the popularity of the polling agglomeration helps sell their ultra-conservative slant on things.
Now, thanks to the sharp eyes of another ebil liberal member, we have an actual indication of just who RCP really are.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/realcl...ar-right-memes
The article is longer than the attention span of most conservatives, but it's pretty damning. It also goes to explain where they get all those nasty reactionary comment-ers to their news articles (check out the comments on articles written by RCP staff); they come from their nasty-assed rumor mongering yellow journalism site.
ETA: I arbitrarily posted the link twice. People don't get to the bottom of lengthier posts and that link is really the inspiration for the thread/post. I don't expect a long thread on this; it's my pet obsession and people don't seem terribly interested in the topic.
via International Skeptics Forum https://ift.tt/2M06XjQ
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