"A bet is a tax on [bovine excrement]." -- Alex Tabborbak
Everyone always says "I KNEW that was going to happen!" but it's ******** if you keep the prediction to yourself. And did you really know Bruce Willis was a ghost, or did you have a vague feeling deep down that something was askew? **** you.
We need unambiguous public declarations. Also, if you're going to call it, you have to call it. If you were "leaning" toward the Seahawks defeating the Broncos at that one Super Bowl, you can't later say, "I called it! I knew they'd win." You were merely "leaning," so there's no egg to wipe off your face had you been mistaken. Pussy.
Then there are those people who try to diminish "obvious" predictions. You'll notice these losers never actually take a risk by calling anything. If someone today says that a certain non-Trump Republican will stir controversy in the next two weeks by making a perceived racist comment, or that Hillary Clinton will win the presidency, then I have to give them credit: That person called it. If you call it, then you're the freaking man (even if you have two X chromosomes).
Predicting that a candidate will declare himself the winner of a debate gets no respect because candidates always do that. Predicting a candidate will be the perceived winner of a debate does count, assuming you have polling data. Predictions should strive to be measurable and specific.
Prediction: Trump will drop out of the race for the Republican nomination before Iowa declaring that he accomplished everything he set out to accomplish, and that he didn't really want the job because he prefers contributing to the economy by creating jobs and making money.
Deadline: February 1st, 2016.
Prediction: A Democrat will win 270 or more votes in the electoral college.
Deadline: November 8th, 2016
Secret Prediction, which no one is allowed to read until the deadline: September 6, 2015
Everyone always says "I KNEW that was going to happen!" but it's ******** if you keep the prediction to yourself. And did you really know Bruce Willis was a ghost, or did you have a vague feeling deep down that something was askew? **** you.
We need unambiguous public declarations. Also, if you're going to call it, you have to call it. If you were "leaning" toward the Seahawks defeating the Broncos at that one Super Bowl, you can't later say, "I called it! I knew they'd win." You were merely "leaning," so there's no egg to wipe off your face had you been mistaken. Pussy.
Then there are those people who try to diminish "obvious" predictions. You'll notice these losers never actually take a risk by calling anything. If someone today says that a certain non-Trump Republican will stir controversy in the next two weeks by making a perceived racist comment, or that Hillary Clinton will win the presidency, then I have to give them credit: That person called it. If you call it, then you're the freaking man (even if you have two X chromosomes).
Predicting that a candidate will declare himself the winner of a debate gets no respect because candidates always do that. Predicting a candidate will be the perceived winner of a debate does count, assuming you have polling data. Predictions should strive to be measurable and specific.
Prediction: Trump will drop out of the race for the Republican nomination before Iowa declaring that he accomplished everything he set out to accomplish, and that he didn't really want the job because he prefers contributing to the economy by creating jobs and making money.
Deadline: February 1st, 2016.
Prediction: A Democrat will win 270 or more votes in the electoral college.
Deadline: November 8th, 2016
Secret Prediction, which no one is allowed to read until the deadline: September 6, 2015
via International Skeptics Forum http://ift.tt/1eWR49Z
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