How much do you trust the polling data leading into this election?
We know the polling efforts have not done well in recent elections. I would put forward that 2016 was about the worst we have seen in a long time. 2018 was better but still off a lot. 2020 was also an improvement but still weaker than usual. Of course you can argue with that set or premises.
Trying to set this up as a poll but have not done that before.
1.) Polls for this election likely have no accuracy.
2.) Polls are going to be close to pre 2016 normal.
3.) Polls inaccurate but better than 2016.
4.) Polls are not great and will do about the same as 2020.
And of course I messed up the poll about polls.
We know the polling efforts have not done well in recent elections. I would put forward that 2016 was about the worst we have seen in a long time. 2018 was better but still off a lot. 2020 was also an improvement but still weaker than usual. Of course you can argue with that set or premises.
Trying to set this up as a poll but have not done that before.
1.) Polls for this election likely have no accuracy.
2.) Polls are going to be close to pre 2016 normal.
3.) Polls inaccurate but better than 2016.
4.) Polls are not great and will do about the same as 2020.
And of course I messed up the poll about polls.
via International Skeptics Forum https://ift.tt/s1cqz4r
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