Wang(PEC) v. Silver(538) for the Title

When do we do the cut-off? Wang has been on 99% certainty for thirty days and said in mid-October, "It's all over. If Trump wins I will eat a bug."

I see Nate is moving back to 60% for Clinton in NH, and he may have it higher by election morning.

As of this moment however, there are states that Silver calls "Rep" in various percentages, and which Wang gives to the Dems.

Since it's impossible to turn their various % into actual margins, let's just go with the "leans". Currently Silver is still showing GOP leans in four contests that Wang has as Dem leans or Dem likely:

Silver Wang
52rep 63%dem NC
52rep 74%dem FL
50rep 63%dem NV
55rep 71%dem ME2

Does Nate stop double-weighting the polls this close to the election? All you've really got now is the polls. The historical data and "how's it going in similar states" have all been calculated in, by now. All three of Nate's prognostications are the same.... Now Cast, Polls Only, and Polls Plus.

So, now.... the main event-ent-ent! For the Prognostication Championship of the World! Let's Get Ready to Rummmmmmbulllllllll !!!

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