Note: There may be an existing thread on this, but I didn't see it. If it is too similar to something active, feel free to close it. However, it should be in USA Politics, not social issues, because I'm going to be bringing up politics.
Of all the things conservatives hate that have happened in the last eight years, surely the Affordable Care Act, known as Obamacare, must be at or near the top of the list. Repeal Obamacare resounds all over the right wing radio. With a Republican congress and Trump ad president, and a slew of campaign promises from candidates from Trump on down, surely the ACA is history, right?
I predict it won't happen. I predict that four years from now, there will not be massive changes. At the very least, it will still be required to have health insurance, and the government will still provide subsidies. The core principle of Obamacare will still be in place.
What I predict will happen is that the Republican congress will not be able to agree on what to do. One faction will want a very straightforward "cancel it" law. No replacement at all. Another faction will put forward a "repeal and replace" proposal that is based on HSAs. Perhaps another faction will have some other proposal. Either way, no House Democrats will join them in any of these resolutions, and nothing will pass, and Obamacare will remain the law of the land.
This is calculated. The Republicans know that simply repealing it would result in an awful lot of bad press, because they know that the ACA has really resulted in a lot more people getting insurance, After I type this, I'm going to google "medical bankruptcies" and see how they have been affected by Obamacare, too. The Republicans don't really want to repeal it at all. They just want to say that they wanted to repeal it. This approach, with multiple competing bills, is a tried and true method for achieving this goal. Every Republican can stand up and piously declare that he fought for the repeal of Obamacare, and yet no one will have to take the blame for repealing it.
At least, that's my prediction. Look for this thread to be bumped in six months. Stay tuned.
Of all the things conservatives hate that have happened in the last eight years, surely the Affordable Care Act, known as Obamacare, must be at or near the top of the list. Repeal Obamacare resounds all over the right wing radio. With a Republican congress and Trump ad president, and a slew of campaign promises from candidates from Trump on down, surely the ACA is history, right?
I predict it won't happen. I predict that four years from now, there will not be massive changes. At the very least, it will still be required to have health insurance, and the government will still provide subsidies. The core principle of Obamacare will still be in place.
What I predict will happen is that the Republican congress will not be able to agree on what to do. One faction will want a very straightforward "cancel it" law. No replacement at all. Another faction will put forward a "repeal and replace" proposal that is based on HSAs. Perhaps another faction will have some other proposal. Either way, no House Democrats will join them in any of these resolutions, and nothing will pass, and Obamacare will remain the law of the land.
This is calculated. The Republicans know that simply repealing it would result in an awful lot of bad press, because they know that the ACA has really resulted in a lot more people getting insurance, After I type this, I'm going to google "medical bankruptcies" and see how they have been affected by Obamacare, too. The Republicans don't really want to repeal it at all. They just want to say that they wanted to repeal it. This approach, with multiple competing bills, is a tried and true method for achieving this goal. Every Republican can stand up and piously declare that he fought for the repeal of Obamacare, and yet no one will have to take the blame for repealing it.
At least, that's my prediction. Look for this thread to be bumped in six months. Stay tuned.
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