I have for many years had an interesting Nassim Taleb's work, most famously known for the idea of the Black Swan.
He has a lot of very interesting ideas in his books, supposedly back up by technical papers. If his ideas about prediction and risk, if true, could have a big impact.
The problem is I'm not knowledgeable enough in statistics among other math subjects to determine if he's right.
If you were in my position, how would you go about verifying his work?
Link to some of his papers.
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B_31.../edit?hl=en_GB
He has a lot of very interesting ideas in his books, supposedly back up by technical papers. If his ideas about prediction and risk, if true, could have a big impact.
The problem is I'm not knowledgeable enough in statistics among other math subjects to determine if he's right.
If you were in my position, how would you go about verifying his work?
Link to some of his papers.
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B_31.../edit?hl=en_GB
via JREF Forum http://forums.randi.org/showthread.php?t=269280&goto=newpost
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