March 15 (Super Tuesday 2) Thread

I have heard some pundits say that it could be all but over after all the March 15th votes are counted. Probably nobody is going to wrap up the nomination outright on Tuesday, but they could conceivably open up a wide lead that would be very hard to surmount.

Useful links:
http://ift.tt/1LlybNN
http://ift.tt/1LlydVY
http://ift.tt/1Llyecc

So, the contests:

Florida (the big one)
GOP Delegates: 99 (winner-take-all); Dem Delegates 214
Polling shows an 18-point lead for Trump and a 31-point lead for Clinton.

Illinois
GOP Delegates: 69 (winner-take-most); Dem Delegates 156
Polling shows a 9-point lead for Trump and a 14-point lead for Clinton.

Ohio
GOP Delegates: 66 (winner-take-all); Dem Delegates 143
Polling shows a 2-point lead for Kasich and an 18-point lead for Clinton.

North Carolina
GOP Delegates: 72; Dem Delegates 107
Polling shows a 12-point lead for Trump and a 22-point lead for Clinton.

Missouri
GOP Delegates: 52; Dem Delegates 71
A single poll with a small sample size an a large MoE shows a 7-point lead for Trump and a 7-point lead for Clinton.

(There is also a Republican caucus in the Northern Mariana Islands.)



So: Looks like it could be a good day for Trump and Clinton. With the caveat that Sanders performed much better in Michigan than the polls had been showing. Could such a thing happen again? Could the polls be overstating Trump's support?

via International Skeptics Forum http://ift.tt/1THjmaV